Robert C. Bowman, M.D. Impacts on Allopathic Medical Students
Newer at Five Periods of Health Policy and Physician Career Choice or Changes in Specialty Choice 1987 - 1999
Students from allopathic medical schools were impacted differently by health policy favorable to primary care. The nation had a sudden change if health policy and a sudden change in choice of primary care and family medicine in a short time. Students had far different career choices during the 1995 - 1997 graduating classes than the past 20 or more years. Those most likely to change career choice appear to be those who had a vested interest in staying connected to current locations. Those born instate and those born in the same county as their medical school and those locating nearest their FP residency after graduation had the greatest increase in choice of family medicine (65 - 75%), a choice at the time that allowed the most ability to determine future career location. Those born in medical school counties that did not attend a local medical school did not have higher choice of family medicine than the national average.
Unfortunately the impact was not sustained and the nation may actually have the worst primary care health policy, and primary care physician location in rural and poverty areas in the nations post Medicare era.
The common theme behind the changes involve socioeconomics. Those of lower income origins were less likely to change. Urban, higher MCAT, younger are all markers for higher income levels of students. Older, rural born, and those born in lower income counties represent more humble origins.
| Allopathic Med School Students by Urban Influence Code (1993) of County of Birth | Not FPGP 1990-1993 | FPGP 1990-1993 | Total | FP Choice 1990-1993 | FP Choice 1995 - 1998 | Increase |
| 1 metro over 1 million pop | 27604 | 3282 | 30886 | 10.6% | 15.6% | 47.0% |
| 2 metro less than 1 million | 12036 | 2099 | 14135 | 14.8% | 20.3% | 36.5% |
| US born urban 3 - 9 details below | 4782 | 1255 | 6037 | 20.8% | 26.1% | 25.8% |
| Birth State data only | 162 | 22 | 184 | 12.0% | 15.1% | 26.6% |
| PR, GU, VI | 977 | 97 | 1074 | 9.0% | 11.2% | 23.9% |
| Foreign | 7941 | 747 | 8688 | 8.6% | 11.3% | 31.2% |
| Military Base | 425 | 73 | 498 | 14.7% | 20.5% | 39.6% |
| Missing | 622 | 47 | 669 | |||
| Totals | 54549 | 7622 | 62171 | 12.3% | 17.0% | 38.5% |
| More detail by Urban Inf code | ||||||
| 3 adjacent metro over 10000 pop | 352 | 77 | 429 | 17.9% | 24.8% | 38.0% |
| 4 adjacent less than 10000 pop | 113 | 28 | 141 | 19.9% | 29.0% | 46.1% |
| 5 adjacent small metro > 10000 | 1074 | 229 | 1303 | 17.6% | 23.6% | 34.4% |
| 6 adjacent small metro < 10000 | 643 | 193 | 836 | 23.1% | 28.7% | 24.1% |
| 7 not adjacent > 10000 | 1529 | 365 | 1894 | 19.3% | 24.7% | 28.4% |
| 8 not adjacent 2500 - 10000 | 844 | 289 | 1133 | 25.5% | 27.7% | 8.6% |
| 9 not adjacent less than 2500 | 227 | 74 | 301 | 24.6% | 37.3% | 51.9% |
Codes 1,2,3,5,7 have greater education levels and more colleges and doctors and health facilities
MCAT Correlations - see other correlations of urban, income, research, and specialty choice, also similar considerations in SAT and ACT
| Distance from Medical School to Practice location for all allopathic students born in counties of over 1 million | 1992 | 1993 | 1994 | 1995 | 1996 | 1997 | 1998 | 1999 | 2000 | Differences in Managed Care Choices | |
| Choice Not FP | |||||||||||
| 0 - 60 miles | 908 | 902 | 801 | 743 | 719 | 683 | 694 | 701 | 783 | 11680 | -120 |
| 60 - 100 | 137 | 137 | 122 | 106 | 96 | 91 | 91 | 89 | 97 | 1674 | -46 |
| 100 - 250 | 360 | 283 | 312 | 267 | 257 | 260 | 188 | 211 | 208 | 4043 | -40 |
| 250 - 500 | 234 | 216 | 209 | 193 | 194 | 212 | 201 | 210 | 196 | 3099 | -22 |
| 500 - 1000 | 234 | 215 | 206 | 184 | 195 | 207 | 174 | 187 | 188 | 3062 | -27 |
| 1000 and up | 326 | 273 | 306 | 250 | 260 | 229 | 252 | 212 | 188 | 4003 | -71 |
| 2199 | 2026 | 1956 | 1743 | 1721 | 1682 | 1600 | 1610 | 1660 | 27561 | -517 | |
| Choice of FP | |||||||||||
| 0 - 60 miles | 79 | 84 | 107 | 136 | 136 | 119 | 113 | 94 | 100 | 1387 | 57 |
| 60 - 100 | 16 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 11 | 19 | 281 | 15 |
| 100 - 250 | 36 | 40 | 47 | 41 | 59 | 68 | 56 | 45 | 25 | 595 | 32 |
| 250 - 500 | 21 | 28 | 42 | 31 | 35 | 38 | 21 | 29 | 37 | 400 | 17 |
| 500 - 1000 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 31 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 295 | 9 |
| 1000 and up | 32 | 38 | 32 | 41 | 43 | 41 | 35 | 36 | 35 | 479 | 9 |
| 203 | 222 | 270 | 293 | 329 | 325 | 270 | 238 | 231 | 3437 | 122 | |
| 2402 | 2248 | 2226 | 2036 | 2050 | 2007 | 1870 | 1848 | 1891 | 30998 | -395 |
Those staying within 60 miles of their medical school "changed places" during managed care with fewer subspecialists staying close and more FPs staying close. This is supportive in of the hypothesis that the most urban born students chose a return to birth origins and the urban lifestyle of living over choice of specialty during the impact of the health care reform/managed care era. Other data in support involves no overall change in continued urban practice choices of allopathic physicians despite managed care. However there were more rural family physician graduates of 1995 - 1998 and less rural physicians of other types in 2004 practice locations.
Complex table comparing urban/foreign, MCAT, age, and in vs out state
FP Unlikely is born in counties of over 1 million or outside of the 50 states
Generally instate, younger, high MCAT, and FP Unlikely had less percent change with managed care
Normal instate have higher choice of FP and the other three have lower choice of FP
The instate, urban born students were the ones who changed choice to FP and PC, a likely response to maintain urban practice location upon graduation
| FPGP Choice 1987-2000 | FPGP Choice 1988-92 | FPGP Choice 1995-99 | diff | Percent increase | FPGP total | |
| FP Unlikely, MCAT 11 younger, out of state | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 53.1% | 854 |
| FP Unlikely, MCAT 11 younger, instate | 8.3% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 93.5% |