{"id":5880,"date":"2024-02-13T20:05:58","date_gmt":"2024-02-14T02:05:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/?p=5880"},"modified":"2024-02-14T06:48:37","modified_gmt":"2024-02-14T12:48:37","slug":"researchers-estimate-long-covid-may-affect-5-8-million-children-are-they-right","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/2024\/02\/13\/researchers-estimate-long-covid-may-affect-5-8-million-children-are-they-right\/","title":{"rendered":"Researchers Estimate Long Covid May Affect 5.8 Million Children. Are They Right?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"panel body-content\"><div class=\"panel__container\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/davewessner\/2024\/02\/10\/researchers-estimate-long-covid-may-affect-58-million-children-are-they-right\/?sh=7fbc00d011c1\">Forbes<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Long Covid may affect 5.8 million children in the U.S., according to an article published on Wednesday in the journal&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/publications.aap.org\/pediatrics\/article\/doi\/10.1542\/peds.2023-062570\/196606\/Postacute-Sequelae-of-SARS-CoV-2-in-Children?autologincheck=redirected\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Pediatrics<\/em><\/a>. That\u2019s a large number. It\u2019s also a number that stands in contrast to other published estimates of pediatric long Covid. So, who\u2019s right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s begin by exploring how the authors of this article arrived at their number. As with any estimate, they started with a few basic assumptions. They assumed that 20% of Covid-19 cases occur in children and that the prevalence of long Covid, or postacute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2, in children is 10-20%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kff.org\/coronavirus-covid-19\/issue-brief\/global-covid-19-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">data provided by KFF<\/a>, the cumulative number of Covid-19 cases in the U.S. at the end of January 2024 was approximately 105 million. If 20% of those cases occurred in children and 20% of those children developed long Covid, then about 4.2 million children in the U.S. should be affected. That\u2019s reasonably close to the number cited by the authors. However, it\u2019s unclear how the authors determined that 10-20% of children with Covid-19 will develop long Covid. They state that experts, \u201creviewed the literature for relevant pediatric studies and summarized the findings.\u201d That\u2019s all we really know. They list 98 articles that were reviewed. Presumably, their careful review of these articles led the authors to determine that the prevalence is 10-20%. But we don\u2019t have any information about why these articles were selected and, conversely, why other articles may not have been selected.<\/p>\n<!-- <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"\/secure-location.php\" title=\"NAm  QPHhfAi \">NAm  QPHhfAi <\/a> --><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Forbes Long Covid may affect 5.8 million children in the U.S., according to an article published on Wednesday in the journal&nbsp;Pediatrics. That\u2019s a large number. It\u2019s also a number that stands in contrast to other published estimates of pediatric long Covid. So, who\u2019s right? Let\u2019s begin by exploring how the authors of this article arrived [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5880","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-clinical-considerations"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5880","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5880"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5880\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5881,"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5880\/revisions\/5881"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5880"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5880"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.unmc.edu\/healthsecurity\/transmission\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5880"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}